|  | News was prepared under the information support of Online Daily Newspaper on Hellenic and international Shipping "Hellenic Shipping News". | 
31 May 2010
 The problem: shipping emissions estimated to rise by up to 250 per cent by 2050 It is estimated that approximately 75 per cent of the world's trade is carried by ships and with increased globalisation this figure is set to increase. A 2009 report for the International
Maritime Organisation (IMO) estimated that in 2007, global shipping 
emissions accounted for 3.3 per cent of global greenhouse gas (GHG) 
emissions and that, without action to tackle the problem, levels could 
increase by up to 250 per cent by 2050. Conversely, cuts in global 
shipping GHG emissions of between 25 and 75 per cent are expected to be 
possible by 2050 as a result of technical or operational developments.
The problem: shipping emissions estimated to rise by up to 250 per cent by 2050 It is estimated that approximately 75 per cent of the world's trade is carried by ships and with increased globalisation this figure is set to increase. A 2009 report for the International
Maritime Organisation (IMO) estimated that in 2007, global shipping 
emissions accounted for 3.3 per cent of global greenhouse gas (GHG) 
emissions and that, without action to tackle the problem, levels could 
increase by up to 250 per cent by 2050. Conversely, cuts in global 
shipping GHG emissions of between 25 and 75 per cent are expected to be 
possible by 2050 as a result of technical or operational developments.
In common with aviation emissions, international shipping emissions are 
not subject to the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and are therefore exempt from any
global commitment to reduce GHG emissions, even though they are a 
fast-growing source of (and major contributor to) global emissions. 
Instead, the Kyoto Protocol calls on the IMO to take action based on its
representation of the global shipping industry and the need for any 
regulatory or market-based solutions to be applicable across the 
industry.
The solution?
Progress within the IMO on tackling rising shipping GHG emissions has 
been slow in the 13 years since the signing of the Kyoto Protocol. The 
main sticking point appears to be disagreement between developing 
countries (notably Brazil, India, China and South Africa) and the 
developed world (lead by the likes of the UK, Germany, France, Belgium, 
Sweden and Norway) over whether emissions reduction targets and market 
based instruments – as advocated by the protocol and including emissions
trading – are appropriate solutions. This is perhaps not surprising 
given that developing countries are not subject to emissions reduction 
targets under Kyoto because they do not share the same historic 
responsibility as developed countries for such emissions.
In July 2009, the Marine Environment Protection Committee (MEPC), the 
environmental policy decision-making body of the IMO, agreed a workplan 
for discussion on the applicability of market based instruments to 
reducing global shipping emissions. This could lead to the production of
a strategy report for cutting GHG emissions by 2011, including 
identification of possible future steps. Because the IMO process will 
not deliver an agreed solution for a number of years, it is understood 
that a number of interim and voluntary technical and operational 
measures to reduce GHG emissions are being trialled.
Copenhagen's efforts to decarbonise shipping
EU member states and EU institutions had hoped that the United Nations 
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) discussions last 
December in Copenhagen might have seen the United Nations (UN) either 
include shipping and aviation emissions in a new global agreement or 
give the IMO and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) a 
clear mandate to start preparations for the introduction of a global 
emissions trading scheme affecting their sectors. However, neither 
action was taken.
The EU's negotiating position at Copenhagen was that it wanted a 20 per 
cent reduction in global shipping GHG emissions by 2020 relative to a 
2005 baseline. If this requirement had been adopted, it could have seen 
as much as €25bn being delivered to the developing world annually in 
funding for adaptation and mitigation measures by 2020.
Next steps and expected outcomes for the sector
UN discussions are ongoing and it is hoped a successor to Kyoto will be 
agreed at this November's meeting in Cancun, Mexico. Whether this 
agreement will include emissions reduction targets for the aviation and 
shipping sectors remains to be seen; we can expect this to be fairly low
in the agenda given the major differences of opinion on key issues such
as an overall emission reduction target for the medium term.
It is more likely that the EU will take action. The revised EU emission 
trading system (EU ETS) Directive requires the European Commission to 
consider the inclusion of shipping in the scheme from 2013 if the IMO 
process is not complete by 2012. Although this could potentially address
only emissions from ships arriving at or departing from EU ports, 
approximately 31 per cent of global shipping emissions1 could be covered
(6.1 per cent of total EU 27 GHG emissions). The new climate change 
commissioner, Connie Hedegaard, has indicated her willingness to tackle 
the problem if the IMO process does not deliver in time, while European 
Commission president, Jose Manuel Barroso has suggested that 
'decarbonising' the transport sector is a priority for his second term 
in office. A report prepared for the European Commission by 
environmental consultancy CE Delft and published in mid-February 
examined four policy options and came out in favour of including 
shipping emissions in the EU ETS in preference to the other options 
(carbon taxation, efficiency standards or a baseline credit system).
These developments mirror the precedent of aviation emissions
Aviation emissions have already been included in the EU ETS and aircraft
operators will have to purchase and surrender allowances for aviation 
emissions from 2012 onwards. As of 1 January 2010, operators in the EU 
member states are obliged to monitor and report emissions – a 
considerable cost and administrative burden.
Case study: Air Transport Association of America's judicial review 
before the English High Court
We are currently advising the Air Transport Association of America (ATA)
and major US airlines (including American Airlines, United Airlines and
Continental Airlines) in judicial review proceedings before the English
High Court. We are arguing on behalf of the ATA and these airlines that
the inclusion of emissions from international aviation in the EU ETS 
violates public international and EU law. The UK government has 
acknowledged the importance of the case and has agreed to a reference to
the European Court of Justice.
We have also advised the Aviation Working Group (an association of 
aircraft manufacturers, banks and other investors) in relation to 
aviation emissions and have assisted in relation to governmental 
consultations.
Source: Mondaq